29 August 2016

STATISTICAL INFORMATION ABOUT INCOME DISTRIBUTION IN OECD COUNTRIES

I have arranged the current OECD countries so, that the country where the distribution of disposable income is most uneven - and the number describing Gini coefficient is biggest - is first. Most of the latest figures are from year 2013, but in some cases the figure is from year 2014 or 2012.


Country
GINI* (0-1 scale)
Years compared

Chile
0.511  /  0.465
2006** / 2013
Mexico
0.474  /  0.459
2004** / 2014
USA
0.36  /  0.394
2004** / 2014
Turkey
0.43  /  0.393
2004** / 2013
Israel
0.378  /  0.365
2005** / 2014
Estonia
0.349  /  0.361
2004 / 2013
United Kingdom
0.354  /  0.358
2004 / 2013
Lithuania
0.35  /  0.353
2004 / 2013
Latvia
0.363  /  0.352
2004 / 2013
Spain
0.332  /  0.346
2004 / 2013
Greece
0.333  /  0.343
2004 / 2013
Portugal
0.384  /  0.342
2004 / 2013
Australia
0.315  /  0.337
2004** / 2014
New Zealand
0.335  /  0.333
2003** / 2012
Japan
0.321  /  0.33
2003** / 2012
Italy
0.331  /  0.325
2004 / 2013
Canada
0.322  /  0.322
2004** / 2013
Ireland
0.324  /  0.309
2004 / 2013
South Korea
0.306  /  0.302
2006** / 2014
Poland
0.376  /  0.3
2004 / 2013
Switzerland
0.298  /  0.295
2009** / 2013
France
0.283  /  0.294
2004** / 2013
Germany
0.285  /  0.292
2004** / 2013
Hungary
0.303  /  0.288
2003** / 2014
Netherlands
0.284  /  0.283
2005** / 2014
Luxembourg
0.264  /  0.281
2004 / 2013
Sweden
0.234  /  0.281
2004** / 2013
Austria
0.269  /  0.28
2004 / 2013
Slovak Republic
0.265  /  0.269
2004 / 2013
Belgium
0.288  /  0.268
2004 / 2013
Czech Republic
0.268  /  0.262
2004 / 2013
Finland
0.266  /  0.257
2004 / 2014
Slovenia
0.241  /  0.255
2004 / 2013
Denmark
0.232  /  0.254
2005** / 2013
Norway
0.276  /  0.252
2004** / 2013
Iceland
0.261  /  0.244
2004 / 2013                      



*)  GINI (Disposable income, post taxes and transfers)
**) Income definition until 2011

In the USA the Gini coefficient was slightly bigger in 2014 than for example in Turkey. The Gini coefficient seems to have become significantly smaller in Chile, Turkey and Portugal. Some notable positive changes have also happened for example in Ireland and Belgium. The situation seems to be particularly good in Iceland where the Gini coefficient was the smallest in 2013. The income inequality seems to have become greater in the USA, but the change has been even more notable in Sweden. There has also been fairly negative change in Australia and Denmark.

Source: 



21 August 2016

THE SUPPORT OF ALL U.S. PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES

Real Clear Politics has very good statistics about the average support of each presidential candidate, Hillary Clinton (Democratic Party), Donald Trump (Republican Party), Gary Johnson (Libertarian Party) and Jill Stein (Green Party). Pew Research Center, the company I mentioned in my previous post, is also included in these results. The numbers have been taken from the Real Clear Politics website today, on Sunday the 21st of August.

When the voters had to choose between two candidates, the average support was this:


Clinton
   Trump
46.8 %
   41.5 %

When the voters had to choose between three candidates, the average support was this (I calculated the difference between these and two-way results, it is in brackets):


Clinton
Trump
Johnson
42.9 %   (- 3.9)
37.1 %   (- 4.4)
8.6 %          

When the voters had to choose between four candidates, the average support was this (I calculated the difference between these and two-way results, it is in brackets):


Clinton
Trump
Johnson
Stein
42.6 %   (- 4.2)
37.1 %   (- 4.4)
8.6 %   (-)
3.1 %



Source:


7 August 2016

SOME VOTER DEMOGRAPHICS REGARDING U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

Pew Research Center conducted a survey (15. - 26.6.2016) where people were asked the following question: "If you had to choose between __ who would you vote for?"

When asked to choose between the two leading candidates, 51 % chose Hillary Clinton and  42 % chose Donald Trump. (In another question people were asked to choose between three candidates, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump and Gary Johnson    - I will analyze those results later)

Here are some notable demographic differences:

Group

Hillary Clinton

Donald Trump

All  18-29

60 %

30%

All  30-49

52 %

39 %

All women

59 %

35 %

Women 18-34

69 %

25 %

Women 18-49

62 %

30 %

Women 50+

57 %

39 %

Unmarried women

65 %

28 %

Black

91 %

7 %

Hispanic

66 %

24 %

Postgrad (degree)

60 %

33 %

Family income < $ 30 000

62 %

33 %



Here are the groups where support for Trump was bigger than support for Clinton:

Group

Hillary Clinton

Donald Trump

White

42 %

51 %

All men

43 %

49 %

Men 50+

38 %

56 %

Married men

37 %

56 %

All 65+

46 %

49 %

White, non-college

36 %

57 %



Source:
http://www.people-press.org/2016/07/07/2-voter-general-election-preferences/



31 July 2016

SOME INFORMATION REGARDING POLLS AND US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

Whether we like it or not, US presidential election is going to impact our lives. Here are some results from various US polls regarding the presidential election and the two main candidates:

According to Rasmussen Reports (25.7.2016), only 24 % of Americans believe that the country is heading towards right direction.

Source:


The New York Times follows several election polls and calculates the average per cent of people supporting each candidate. The numbers are sometimes updated many times a day, but the situation on the 30th of July is this:

Hillary Clinton  42.5 %          Donald Trump  41.7 %

Source:


According to Gallup (12.7.2016), 25 % of Americans don't like neither of the two main candidates.

Source:


According to Gallup survey (18. - 25.7.2016), the Americans' view on Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump is similar for the first time. Hillary Clinton has been viewed more favorably in earlier polls.

Favorability of the candidate:

Favorable  (Clinton and Trump)  37 %

Unfavorable  (Clinton and Trump)  58 %

Source:


Pew Research Center asked about some perceived traits of the two main candidates (14.7.2016). Here are some answers:

1) Honest:   Clinton  13 %    Trump  19%

2) Someone you admire:   Clinton 18 %   Trump  10 %

3) Can unite the country:  Clinton 17 %   Trump  19 %

4) Extreme:  Clinton 19 %   Trump 55 %

Source: