Real Clear Politics has very good statistics about the average support of each presidential candidate, Hillary Clinton (Democratic Party), Donald Trump (Republican Party), Gary Johnson (Libertarian Party) and Jill Stein (Green Party). Pew Research Center, the company I mentioned in my previous post, is also included in these results. The numbers have been taken from the Real Clear Politics website today, on Sunday the 21st of August.
When the voters had to choose between two candidates, the average support was this:
Clinton
|
Trump
|
46.8 %
|
41.5 %
|
When the voters had to choose between three candidates, the average support was this (I calculated the difference between these and two-way results, it is in brackets):
Clinton
|
Trump
|
Johnson
|
42.9 % (- 3.9)
|
37.1 % (- 4.4)
|
8.6 %
|
When the voters had to choose between four candidates, the average support was this (I calculated the difference between these and two-way results, it is in brackets):
Clinton
|
Trump
|
Johnson
|
Stein
|
42.6 % (- 4.2)
|
37.1 % (- 4.4)
|
8.6 % (-)
|
3.1 %
|
Source:
Pew Research Center conducted a survey (15. - 26.6.2016) where people were asked the following question: "If you had to choose between __ who would you vote for?"
When asked to choose between the two leading candidates, 51 % chose Hillary Clinton and 42 % chose Donald Trump. (In another question people were asked to choose between three candidates, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump and Gary Johnson - I will analyze those results later)
Here are some notable demographic differences:
Group
|
Hillary Clinton
|
Donald Trump
|
All 18-29
|
60 %
|
30%
|
All 30-49
|
52 %
|
39 %
|
All women
|
59 %
|
35 %
|
Women 18-34
|
69 %
|
25 %
|
Women 18-49
|
62 %
|
30 %
|
Women 50+
|
57 %
|
39 %
|
Unmarried women
|
65 %
|
28 %
|
Black
|
91 %
|
7 %
|
Hispanic
|
66 %
|
24 %
|
Postgrad (degree)
|
60 %
|
33 %
|
Family income < $ 30 000
|
62 %
|
33 %
|
Here are the groups where support for Trump was bigger than support for Clinton:
Group
|
Hillary Clinton
|
Donald Trump
|
White
|
42 %
|
51 %
|
All men
|
43 %
|
49 %
|
Men 50+
|
38 %
|
56 %
|
Married men
|
37 %
|
56 %
|
All 65+
|
46 %
|
49 %
|
White, non-college
|
36 %
|
57 %
|
Source:
http://www.people-press.org/2016/07/07/2-voter-general-election-preferences/
Whether we like it or not, US presidential election is going to impact our lives. Here are some results from various US polls regarding the presidential election and the two main candidates:
According to Rasmussen Reports (25.7.2016), only 24 % of Americans believe that the country is heading towards right direction.
Source:
The New York Times follows several election polls and calculates the average per cent of people supporting each candidate. The numbers are sometimes updated many times a day, but the situation on the 30th of July is this:
Hillary Clinton 42.5 % Donald Trump 41.7 %
Source:
According to Gallup (12.7.2016), 25 % of Americans don't like neither of the two main candidates.
Source:
According to Gallup survey (18. - 25.7.2016), the Americans' view on Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump is similar for the first time. Hillary Clinton has been viewed more favorably in earlier polls.
Favorability of the candidate:
Favorable (Clinton and Trump) 37 %
Unfavorable (Clinton and Trump) 58 %
Source:
Pew Research Center asked about some perceived traits of the two main candidates (14.7.2016). Here are some answers:
1) Honest: Clinton 13 % Trump 19%
2) Someone you admire: Clinton 18 % Trump 10 %
3) Can unite the country: Clinton 17 % Trump 19 %
4) Extreme: Clinton 19 % Trump 55 %
Source:
